Wednesday, November 22, 2006

All Insurgencies Are Local

Thomas E. Ricks’ article in the November 21, 2006, Washington Post, "Flaws Cited in Effort To Train Iraqi Forces: U.S. Officers Roundly Criticize Program," refers to multiple sources that state the "U.S. military's effort to train Iraqi forces has been rife with problems…" He points out that officers are poorly prepared and lack everything from interpreters to office materials. It is interesting to note that meanwhile, some military pundits are urging the US government to send more cannons, helicopters, and other conventional military hardware to fight insurgents who have none of these things.

Ricks’ article, based upon reports from numerous officers and collected for the Army’s oral history archives highlights the fact that the Pentagon is rethinking its policies in Iraq and will likely change from a direct combat focus and to a more indirect role of training and advising Iraqi troops. It is absolutely a shame that we have squandered this opportunity and that we will have to work so hard and risk so much to regain progress we might have already had in Iraq.

Counterinsurgency subject matter experts have been advocating vociferously about the "shortcomings" of the overall strategy in Iraq and specifically about the lack of adequate training for Iraqi police and military forces since shortly after the insurgency became apparent. Many predicted the need for such training well before the invasion. How could our generals and administration officials, who were adults at the time of the Vietnam War, not understand that the battle for Iraq must be fought by Iraqis—and not foreign troops? After all, the greatest lesson learned in Vietnam is that a foreign military force cannot defeat a popular insurgency struggling against a government in which it has no faith. This is what led directly to the US limit of 55-Military Advisers at a time during El Salvador’s Marxist insurgency in the 1980’s.

Insurgent warfare is political; and all politics is local, therefore all insurgencies are local.

Establishing a professional and properly paid Iraqi army that is diverse and focused on public service is the key to national security, but the key to internal security is establishing a professional, well equipped, and diverse Iraqi national police force that is well paid, believes in Human Rights, and the rights of the accused. These two forces are the foundation for setting up an environment in which the Iraqi people can have enough faith in their safety and security and their government to begin living and working and bringing Iraq back into the world community as a prosperous state. These forces have a stake in their communities and their nation, and once they are empowered to properly protect them, the US can pull out of Iraq with the realistic expectation that it will not spiral into an even more disastrous civil war.

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Monday, November 20, 2006

Let's Not Forget that the War on Terror Really is Global

Although the mid-term elections and the majority of the media coverage focused on the war in Iraq, it is important to remember the war on terror is a global conflict and not simply the result of jihadists reacting to the US presence and subsequent bungling of the power transition in Iraq. Islamic extremists, making the most of legitimate socio-political grievances in various Islamic nations have long called for attacks against outsiders and the US. The forthcoming suggestions for a new strategy from the Iraq Study Group (assuming they are only focusing on Iraq) and even the complete withdrawal of US troops from Iraq will not end the global war on terror. Now that the elections are over and new leaders are preparing to step up, it is time for them to consider what we should do to counter the global threat of terrorism against the US. It is time for the “new leadership” in Congress to step up beyond the anti-Bush rhetoric and figure out how to deal with this threat that wholly transcends the conflict in Iraq.

Palestinian Groups Call for Attacks on America
Read article in its entirety at US Central Command web site.

On November 12, the Popular Resistance Committees in Palestine issued a communiqué threatening to “strike America” in response to the Israeli shelling in which at least 20 Palestinian civilians were killed. Their anger toward the US stems from Israel “…using American weapons and under American officers’ supervision…and blessings of…their supposed Security Council.” They call for “merciless” attacks on Americans, claiming the United Nations and the Security Council are against Arabs.


Guidance for Uncertain People Regarding the Legitimacy of Killing the Christians in Saudi Arabia Distributed by the Global Islamic Media Front
Read article in its entirety at US Central Command web site.

A 56-page book, “Guidance for Uncertain People Regarding the Legitimacy of Killing the Christians (In the Arabian Peninsula),” was distributed to jihadists by the Global Islamic Media Front. The book legitimizes revenge claiming that it is acceptable for Muslims to kill American men, women and children, because of US actions against Muslims throughout history. The author states that there is an attack using a new method coming in America, and that “America will be shocked once more, and this time Bush of the infidels will cry again.”

Al-Qa'ida of Jihad in Yemen Claims Attacks Against Oil Facilities in Yemen
Read article in its entirety at US Central Command web site.

On 7 November, a jihadist website posted the first statement issued by "Al-Qa'ida of Jihad Organization in the Land of Yemen." It states, “God blessed your brothers in…the execution of four martyrdom operations against oil facilities of the Crusaders and American enemy and their apostate allies…We pledge our promise to the Exalted Almighty that we will neither cease nor resign until this religion is elevated, Islam is well established, and the caliphate prevails all over the globe, or we die working to attain that end.”

Afghan Leader Vows to Escalate Violence, Punish Karzai
Read article in its entirety at US Central Command web site.

On October 21, a Taleban spokesman, Dr Mohammad Hanif, emailed a message from Mullah Omar to Afghan Islamic Press. The message states, that NATO member states are allowing their soldiers to be killed in Afghanistan just for the sake of the United States. It goes on to claim that the United Nations failed to make courageous decisions on the occasion of the Russian aggression in Afghanistan and is putting the stamp of approval only on those decisions which the United States makes it to do by force. Omar States, “I once again advise my Muslim and mojahed nation to stand steadfast in the war against aggressors. You should not be deceived by enemy's hallow and unworthy propaganda.”


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